Recently, noted Espn columnist Bill Simmons pointed out a provocative fact: Nfl Home teams are winning at a much lower rate than before. From 1990-1999, home teams won at a rate of 59.6%. From 2000-2009, the win rate was down to 57%, a statistically critical decline in winning percentage. During the same period, playoff win ration was down from 74% to 57%, a huge drop.
Simmons earnings sterile new stadiums that disenfranchise the lower paying yet louder cheering fans. He does make a point. Agreeing to Forbes' Magazine, the Washington Redskins are the most profitable team in the Nfl and that is directly associated to the number of luxury suites in their stadium. Washington is a terrible team and their stadium is quiet and costly - what Simmons would argue is a microcosm of the contemporary Nfl.
Washington Dc Sports Teams
Much more importantly for Nfl bettors, they should comprehend that Home teams only win at a 47% rate against the spread. That means, you could literally bet and cover the juice naturally by betting away teams against the spread... Wow, that is a huge development. Apparently the linesmakers haven't picked up on this trend so take advantage while it lasts. More importantly, make sure you have the discipline to bet by the numbers. Simmons, who had a losing report against the spread over the duration he analyzed will hopefully listen to his own advice. While it is foremost to analyze spreads, numbers, injuries and the teams playing a game, it is most foremost to have discipline. If you analyze numbers and find a law that works - then you stick with that system, you win money betting over the long term.
No comments:
Post a Comment